ABSTRACT
Increase in agricultural production is essential for agricultural development since it enhances profitability and income which leads to welfare improvements. In Nigeria agricultural production and rural welfare have worsened over the years. Adequate information on the link between agricultural production and rural welfare in Nigeria is expected to better inform policy makers on implementation. Agricultural production and its impact on rural welfare in Nigeria were, therefore, investigated. Secondary data covering the military period (1970-1979 and 1984–1999) and democratic (1980–1983 and 1999-2007) periods were used for the study. The pre-Millennium Development Goals – MDGs (1970– 1999) and MDGs (2000–2007) periods also fall within the study period (1970 – 2007). The government regimes (military and democratic) as well as the pre-MDGs and MDGs periods captured the various policies implemented. Data were obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Central Bank of Nigeria and the Food and Agriculture Organization. Data were extracted on agricultural inputs and production,